A cold start but we will see some warmth again soon

Published: Feb. 11, 2020 at 12:00 PM AKST
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While under partly cloudy skies Tuesday in Anchorage we will see a high near 17 degrees.

Today (Tuesday) will start off as another partly cloudy to partly clear day at times for most of Southcentral, while temperatures for most areas only warm into the teens for highs. As storms approach the area clouds will increase from the south through the afternoon.

All areas should stay precipitation (no rain and snow) free during the daylight hours aside from Kodiak. The storm that we have monitored looks to move into the Gulf Tuesday night, however, though looks to start off a little bit further west than anticipated as the system tracks along the coast of the Alaska Peninsula through Tuesday night, then turns east up along the east coast of Kodiak Island Wednesday morning, to eventually depart quickly towards the eastern Gulf by late in the day on Wednesday.

Warm air associated with this system is expected to move north past Kodiak Island and into the northern Gulf by Wednesday afternoon. The storm will bring up warmer air as well as keeping the winds moving in from out of the east over Kodiak Island Tuesday night ahead of the storm.

The winds out of the east will not have any cold air to work with, as the airflow will warm up after traversing the warmer Gulf waters (upper 30's for Gulf water temperatures). This warmer air could turn the Kodiak snow event into rain or a rain-snow event with not much accumulation even though we could see some heavy snow at times Tuesday night.

The storms should stall out along the coast into Wednesday morning. We could see some snow flurries Wednesday morning for Anchorage, the Matanuska Valley and the Western Kenai as some moisture from this Kodiak storm tries to make its way north with the potential to produce a few inches of snow for the Copper River Basin.

During the day, the storm rapidly moves off to the east, with skies gradually clearing Wednesday night. Gap winds will persist but Thursday should be another quiet day for most of the area.

For the extended period or Thursday through Monday a strong low-pressure storm will cross the central Aleutians Thursday, moving into the central Bering Sea as it weakens while extending east into Kodiak. More storms move into the Bering on Sunday but with several storms in the area, we will have to iron out the details later on in the week to see if these storms move north of the Peninsula and Kodiak and up into Southcentral to provide any noticeable weather impacts other than clouds and warmer temperatures.

Partly cloudy skies in Anchorage on Tuesday with a high of 17 degrees along with 10 mph winds. Tuesday night we drop down to 15 degrees while under mostly cloudy skies and winds up to 15 mph.

Cloudy on Wednesday in Anchorage with a high of 24 degrees with 15 mph winds as well as a 60 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy Wednesday night with light winds and a chance of snow.

Looking ahead, Thursday we will be partly cloudy early becoming mostly sunny with light winds, and a high of 18 degrees.

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